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SARS-CoV-2 Graphs

These graphs are
Comparisons of Crona Virus cases in the United States, Wisconsin, and
Eau Claire County

 

May 26

US * Infections

US * Deaths

WI Infections

WI Deaths

Eau Claire Infections

Predicted

> U.S. Population

122,297,242*

1,091,927

961,094

> County Population

Actual

1,719,827*

101,711*

17,707

568

107

* One day behind

 

 

The Blue Lines on the graphs below and the predictions above show what would have happened if we ignored the CDC's warnings and treated Covid-19 like the seasonal flu. The predicted and actual numbers show a strong correlation until about 4/4 for the infection rate when the two diverge. The mortality rates diverge about one week later. 

Wisconsin began to  “Shelter-in-Place” on 3/24, 11 days earlier.

 

 


This Wisconsin graph of Predicted Positive test results for Covid-19 used an R0 of 1.4 to calculate the Blue line until March 21.

To match a significantly slowing infection rate
From March 22 forward an R0 of 1.19 was used
From March 28 forward an R0 of 1.12 was used

 

 

 

 

 


This Wisconsin graph of Covid-19 mortality above used an R0 of 1.3 to calculate the Blue line until March 24.

To match a significantly slowing mortailty rate From March 25 forward an R0 of 1.2 was used

 

 

 

 

 

 


The Eau Claire County graph above of Predicted Positive test results for Covid-19 uses an R0 of 1.2 to calculate the Blue line.

 

 

 

 


This US Graph of Predicted Positive test results for Covid-19 initially used an R0 of 1.3 to calculate the Blue line. The actual number of cases in Red closely tracked this value.

To match a significantly slowing infection rate From March 26 forward an R0 of 1.17 was used

 

 

 

 


The US Graph of Predicted mortality for Covid-19 above initially used an R0 of 1.3 to calculate the Blue line. The actual number of cases in Red closely tracked this value.

To match a significantly slowing infection rate From March 30 forward an R0 of 1.2 was used

 

 

If you have questions about this page, please let us know

WIEC@WIECradio.org

Call: 808-400-WIEC

 

 

 

 

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